Briefly on the Trend of U.S. Foreign Policy in the Biden Era

LI,JIN  WEI

20201110

2020 Nian 11 Yue 3 on the US election over, as some states do not arrive on time by mail ballot counting centers leads to the night unable to complete the statistics, but in the morning Trump announced that he won the election, did not take long as the billing increases, increase the number of votes Biden, Biden announced his victory, and Trump said that he would start a legal action on the 9th , on the grounds that the Democratic Party had stolen votes and there were a large number of fraudulent votes. The Republican election team said that the court will have the final say after the prosecution. The news organizations of major American media that Lampe opposed, such as the New York Times, CNN Broadcasting Company, Fox News, ABC News, etc., on the third day after Biden declared his victory, they fell to one side and announced that Biden was elected to the United States. For the 46th president, some Western countries immediately called Biden for being elected president of the United States. At the same time, the top leaders of China and Russia did not immediately announce their congratulations to Biden within a few hours as they did in the past few years. This is a prudent approach. Chinese Foreign Ministry spokesperson Wang Wenbin said that he would act in accordance with international practices in accordance with procedures.

Up to now 2020 Nian 11 Yue 10 Beijing time Shangwu 9 points still firmly believe that public opinion, "Biden" Time 2021 Nian 1 Yue 20 on the US administration officially elected president, if the US presidential election electoral authorities confirmed the same, and if the impending The litigation court ruled that Biden’s election will remain unchanged, so will the direction of US foreign policy toward major countries turn 180 degrees to the left?

The main focus of the US’s most important foreign relations policy trend in recent years is:

The European Union and the Asia-Pacific are mainly Japan, South Korea and Japan in Northeast Asia.

Possible Trends of U.S. Foreign Policy towards Palestine and Israel

In the prolonged Palestine-Israel conflict, Trump has taken an extremely favorable approach to Israel, which may also make Biden feel tricky when he opens a different path in the Middle East. Biden criticized Israel's practice of building settlements on the land it occupied, where the Palestinians hoped to establish a future state. He may resume contact with Palestinian leaders, so that Israel will usher in an uncomfortable period of adaptation. Biden and Netanyahu have also had a history of friendly relations in history. Biden has stated that he will abide by Trump's decision to move the US embassy in Israel from Tel Aviv to Jerusalem. The move of the US embassy once made Palestinians deeply angry.

The possible trend of U.S. foreign policy toward Russia

Biden has always insisted that he will take a much tougher stance on Russia than Trump. Trump once doubted whether NATO was still useful, doubted Russia's intelligence warnings about interfering in the US election, expressed admiration for Russian President Putin, and said that improving the relationship between the United States and the Kremlin would be beneficial to all parties. When Biden was vice president, he was promoted by Russia's annexation of Ukraine's Crimea Peninsula in 2014 to impose sanctions on it. This was the largest land grab in Europe since World War II. Biden may seek to extend these sanctions and take other punitive measures. Although tensions with Russia may intensify, in the field of arms control, Biden and Putin are eager to make progress.

The possible trend of U.S. foreign policy toward China

Biden has stated that he will implement tough policies on China in the future and no longer have illusions about Beijing. For this reason, I think the confrontation between the United States and China will continue, but it will be different from the Trump administration in terms of specific operations.

The result of the US presidential election will not change the consensus that the two parties have established that China is a strategic competitor of the United States, nor will it reduce the mutual mistrust between the two countries. Therefore, it is unlikely that the U.S. policy toward China will undergo a 180- degree change. Many goals between the Trump administration and Biden’s administrations are of similar nature, including the hope that China will be reciprocally beneficial and make it fulfill its international commitments. The approach will be very different. As Biden declared in the last presidential candidate debate, "We must tell China with our friends: This is the rule."

The U.S.-China relationship is particularly sensitive. Due to various restrictions, there are few public citations and analyses.

The possible trend of U.S. foreign policy towards the EU

The Biden administration will seek to restore the coherence and credibility of U.S. policies, especially insisting on the creation of alliances based on international issues, such as trade issues with Europe, by relaunching the "Trans-Pacific Strategic Economic Partnership Agreement" (TPP) . This focus on multilateralism will reassure US allies and partners while increasing pressure on China. This will also allow the United States to return to international organizations, from the World Trade Organization to the World Health Organization (OMS) to UNESCO. Trump often belittles the European Union and strongly encourages Brexit, but Biden has expressed the opposite position. Like former US President Barack Obama, Biden supports the United States to maintain close relations with EU leaders and opposes Brexit. Although many Europeans would be happy to see Trump step down, the damage they said Trump has caused to the reliability of the United States will not be easily erased.

Possible Trends of U.S. Foreign Policy towards Northeast Asia

The core issue of the Northeast Asia issue is the North Korean issue. Trump once said that his friendship with North Korean leader Kim Jong Un and three meetings with him have successfully avoided war with this closed country with nuclear weapons. But critics say that Trump's approach not only failed to convince Kim Jong-un to give up nuclear weapons and missiles, but also bought time for him to strengthen his arsenal. “Under Trump’s nose, North Korea’s nuclear weapons program has developed rapidly and has expanded its missile capabilities. Pyongyang now has intercontinental ballistic missiles that can target the United States. Former U.S. State Department official and North Korea expert Li Weiya said: "This is a special issue. The political legacy that Trump will soon hand over to Biden is a huge burden. " On the other hand North Korea's official news agency will Biden described as a" must be killed with a stick, "the mad dog, Biden has criticized Trump's approach is to appease the dictator. Biden has said he will push for the denuclearization of the peninsula, And "stand with South Korea."